The FC St. Pauli Files
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Predictions

FC St. Pauli

Polymarket and Altus Alpha Predictions

Tools for professional traders.

Akte St. Pauli — Club-Dossier FC St. Pauli
Predictions
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Pinnacle Oracle?
The Oracle removes the bookmaker margin (vig) from Pinnacle odds and normalizes to 100% — the sharpest available probability estimate.

Pinnacle Oracle

Oracle Pipeline BETA

Four stages, one question: where does St. Pauli's probability come from — and what moves it?

St. Pauli vs Wolfsburg · Sat, 05/16, 01:30 PM

1

Base Model

Table + ppg

Home48.7%
Draw24%
Away27.3%

St. Pauli: 48.7%

2

Adjustments

Statistical Intelligence

  • ⚪ St. Pauli home 0.0pp
Home48.7%
Draw24%
Away27.3%

St. Pauli: 48.7% (0.0pp)

3

Pinnacle Oracle

Vig-removed

Home35.8%
Draw26.7%
Away37.6%

St. Pauli: 35.8%

4

Smart Money

Line movement

Stage 4 in development — line history will be persisted from next season.

Model vs. Pinnacle: +12.9pp — Pipeline model sees St. Pauli stronger than Pinnacle

The pipeline is transparent: Stage 1 is a simple table model, Stage 2 applies significant splits from Statistical Intelligence, Stage 3 shows what Pinnacle (the sharpest bookmaker in the world) says. Stage 4 (sharp-money line movement) will follow once we persist line history.

Oracle data unavailable. Next update cycle shortly.

Value Signals

No active Polymarket events for FC St. Pauli. Oracle data only.

Community Forecasts

Metaculus-style forecasts — no real money, fully compliant.

All 73 questions on Akte Bundesliga Forecasts →

Bundesliga Table · Matchday 0

# Club MP W D L GD Pts
1 Schalke 04 0 0 0 0 0 0
2 BVB 0 0 0 0 0 0
3 Werder 0 0 0 0 0 0
4 Augsburg 0 0 0 0 0 0
5 Leipzig 0 0 0 0 0 0
6 Eintracht 0 0 0 0 0 0
7 Bayern 0 0 0 0 0 0
8 Gladbach 0 0 0 0 0 0
9 Mainz 0 0 0 0 0 0
10 Union 0 0 0 0 0 0
11 Paderborn 0 0 0 0 0 0
12 HSV 0 0 0 0 0 0
13 Hoffenheim 0 0 0 0 0 0
14 Stuttgart 0 0 0 0 0 0
15 Koeln 0 0 0 0 0 0
16 Leverkusen 0 0 0 0 0 0
17 Freiburg 0 0 0 0 0 0
18 Elversberg 0 0 0 0 0 0